Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.980982 5.674485 6.439100 7.346215 8.395054 9.572020 10.996157
2025-03-23 4.170038 5.099820 6.207136 7.629111 9.415348 11.596049 14.477123
2025-03-30 3.597536 4.633769 5.939862 7.718995 10.097921 13.195043 17.574783
2025-04-06 3.145688 4.223490 5.645376 7.677282 10.536939 14.463419 20.341255
2025-04-13 2.787307 3.876310 5.369825 7.593608 10.864950 15.569934 22.974995
2025-04-20 2.593484 3.724673 5.332284 7.818599 11.629957 17.355237 26.803330
2025-04-27 2.415560 3.570853 5.266269 7.980278 12.300114 19.053828 30.699355
2025-05-04 2.295402 3.486387 5.287719 8.266772 13.181206 21.164288 35.525400
2025-05-11 2.080066 3.232857 5.021813 8.064117 13.239936 21.930993 38.154359
2025-05-18 1.913652 3.039618 4.830027 7.956801 13.435520 22.933332 41.308645
2025-05-25 1.771723 2.872296 4.662948 7.869789 13.648563 23.976570 44.657669
2025-06-01 1.637187 2.705015 4.479859 7.733939 13.754122 24.827194 47.735804
2025-06-08 1.506470 2.535285 4.281145 7.556369 13.774011 25.538650 50.678067
2025-06-15 1.467330 2.520137 4.348231 7.866322 14.740204 28.166337 57.923055
2025-06-22 1.398486 2.446241 4.303647 7.961683 15.298773 30.051939 63.866721
2025-06-29 1.316318 2.341344 4.193275 7.918847 15.574440 31.388401 68.788437
2025-07-06 1.235838 2.233073 4.067336 7.832330 15.748903 32.527847 73.421348
2025-07-13 1.202399 2.210069 4.099931 8.065089 16.615162 35.256522 82.225335
2025-07-20 1.163127 2.172624 4.101074 8.232361 17.357096 37.797398 90.974950
2025-07-27 1.140681 2.165923 4.161533 8.528791 18.415516 41.190188 102.443021
2025-08-03 1.065801 2.049837 3.993571 8.319104 18.303551 41.817493 106.752911
2025-08-10 1.006791 1.961541 3.875623 8.208071 18.408106 42.977989 112.694168
2025-08-17 0.954219 1.882725 3.771394 8.118049 18.552434 44.253011 119.165096